AFL is one of the most bet-on sports in Australia with 23 rounds of regular season action. The market is efficient but opportunities exist. What makes AFL unique for betting: - Interstate travel is brutal — flying teams lose significantly more often - MCG factor: Collingwood and Richmond have dominant home records - High scoring means margins are volatile - Finals form: some teams consistently lift in September Key insight: AFL interstate away teams win just 38% of games at venues they rarely visit. This is one of the most exploitable edges in Australian sport. Our model weights ELO rating differential, form over last 5 games, injury to key positions, and venue familiarity. We recommend flat-staking: 1-3 units per bet based on confidence.