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Updated daily · All tips ≥ 65% model confidence

Live Sports Track Record

We publish tips for four sports — AFL, NBA, Rugby Union and ATP tennis — and log every single one here, winners and losers, nothing removed.

Current streak: 2 LOSSS

All-time net profit

+129.8u

across 718 published tips in our four published sports at 19.5% ROI — winners and losers, nothing hidden.

What we publish

Four published sports

AFL, NBA, Rugby Union and ATP tennis — the four sports we publish a complete, settled track record for. Every tip is logged and graded against the result, winners and losers alike.

Every tip in these four sports is logged the moment it's published — winners and losers, nothing removed. The figures above are computed live from the same database that powers member tips, so the public record always reconciles to the source data.

66% Strike Rate
443W / 224L All-Time Record
718 Tips Tracked
+129.8u All-Time P&L
19.5% All-Time ROI
76.0% Avg Confidence

Last updated: 2026-08-07

Past performance is not indicative of future results. See methodology.

Top performing sports (P&L, min 10 tips)

Tennis_ATP
+43.5u
136W/95L
NBA
+36.5u
161W/63L
Rugby_Union
+27.5u
109W/50L
AFL
+22.4u
37W/16L

Racing — separate experimental track

Trending · building a sample

Horse & greyhound racing is tracked completely separately from the sports record above — different models, a different database, its own results. It is not part of the headline record, the equity curve, the fingerprint, or the member tips product. We're letting it run to build a meaningful sample before drawing any conclusions. As everywhere here, losing results are shown, not hidden.

Horse Racing
-25.6u
21W/100L · 17% strike · ROI -21.2% · 121 settled
Greyhound Racing
-155.5u
274W/415L · 40% strike · ROI -22.6% · 689 settled

Separate experimental track · calibrated win-probability models · settled WIN/LOSS only · sample still building, no verdict yet · not financial advice

Record integrity

The figures below are computed from the underlying tip history — including the bad stretches. We publish a daily, append-only snapshot so anyone can confirm the record only ever moves forward and losses are never quietly deleted.

Worst drawdown
-65.1u
Longest losing run
8 tips
Current streak
2 losss
Updated
2026-08-07
Record fingerprint (SHA-256)
b413a1cc2cce7d20d57a53ca76e6c82e…

Any edit, deletion or reorder of past tips changes this hash. Verify the data feeds: summary JSON · daily snapshots · full CSV.

Equity curve — cumulative units

2026-03-29 → 2026-07-20

Every settled tip, in order, P&L compounded in units. The dips are real losing runs — we don't smooth them out.

Breakeven ···· Peak: +64.2u Now: +7.6u

Monthly Breakdown (W/L + P&L)

July 2026 1W / 2L (3 tips) -4.54u -151.3%
33%
June 2026 6W / 4L (10 tips) +5.95u +59.5%
60%
May 2026 20W / 18L (38 tips) -11.04u -29.1%
53%
April 2026 233W / 111L (344 tips) +6.31u +1.8%
68%
March 2026 183W / 89L (272 tips) +133.12u +48.9%
67%

By Sport (ROI Breakdown)

ROIP&LStrike
Tennis_ATP
136W / 95L
+18.8% +43.5u
ROI +18.8% P&L +43.5u
59%
NBA
161W / 63L
+16.3% +36.5u
ROI +16.3% P&L +36.5u
72%
Rugby_Union
109W / 50L
+17.3% +27.5u
ROI +17.3% P&L +27.5u
69%
AFL
37W / 16L
+42.2% +22.4u
ROI +42.2% P&L +22.4u
70%

By Confidence Tier

VALUE 65–74% conf
443W / 224L
66%

Higher confidence = larger suggested stake. HIGH CONFIDENCE / STRONG / VALUE are confidence and staking tiers, not guarantees.

Note: tips.db tracks all tips as a single pool. Tier-level breakdown from the members card is tracked separately.

Results are historical and do not guarantee future performance. Odds availability, staking, timing, commission and user execution can affect real outcomes. See methodology and responsible gambling.

Bet Results

Showing settled tips from the last 500 on record. Download full CSV for complete history.

Track record includes all tips with model confidence ≥ 65%. Updated daily after results settle.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Last updated: 2026-08-07.

This site contains wagering-related analysis and is intended for Australian users aged 18+. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly.