The NBA runs October to June with 1,230 regular season games — a huge volume of data for our model to work with. NBA games tip off at 10am-4pm AEST. Injury reports land 1-2 hours before tip-off and can swing the line by 5-8 points. The back-to-back edge: NBA teams on the second night of a back-to-back win just 42% of games. This is one of the most reliable edges in basketball betting and our model flags these heavily. Our NBA model achieves 68-72% accuracy on highest-confidence picks using offensive/defensive ratings, ELO differential, back-to-back flags, season win percentage, rest days, and head-to-head venue history. Best markets: head-to-head for model-based picks, handicap when confident in margin, totals based on pace-of-play data.