Measured on 4,439 Australian thoroughbred, harness and greyhound races from each bookmaker's closing prices: who was best price, by how much, at what margin, and whose prices best predicted the winners.
PointsBet had the best or equal-best closing price on 40.1% of runners, the most of any bookmaker, ahead of BetRight (39.9%) and TAB (34.3%).
35,126 runners · 28 September – 18 October 2026
| Bookmaker | All prices | Under $3.00 | $3.00 to $6.99 | $7.00 to $14.99 | $15.00 and over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBetsole best 12.0% | 40.1% (most often best) | 8.5% | 32.6% | 49.0% (most often best) | 49.7% (most often best) |
| BetRightsole best 12.9% | 39.9% | 37.2% (most often best) | 36.7% (most often best) | 35.5% | 45.8% |
| TABsole best 7.1% | 34.3% | 27.3% | 27.5% | 36.7% | 39.7% |
| Unibetsole best 5.0% | 23.9% | 25.6% | 33.2% | 27.1% | 14.7% |
| TABtouchsole best 2.3% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 27.0% | 26.4% | 16.8% |
| BetGoldsole best 0.1% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 17.0% |
| BoostBetsole best 0.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 25.7% | 17.1% |
| Sportsbetsole best 3.2% | 20.8% | 25.1% | 32.2% | 24.4% | 9.3% |
| NextBet (formerly PlayUp)sole best 1.8% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.8% |
| Ladbrokessole best 0.3% | 14.5% | 32.8% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Nedssole best 0.3% | 14.4% | 32.0% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% |
| Palmerbetsole best 1.0% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| BetDeluxesole best 0.2% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
Amber marks the bookmaker most often best in each column; bars are scaled to that leader. Runners per range: Under $3.00 4,244 · $3.00 to $6.99 8,908 · $7.00 to $14.99 8,686 · $15.00 and over 13,288.
For every runner with closing prices from at least three bookmakers, a bookmaker scores when its price equals the highest. Equal-best counts for every bookmaker at that price, so the shares do not add to 100%. Each share is out of the runners that bookmaker priced. Price ranges use the runner's median closing price across bookmakers.
Each closing price divided by the median closing price for the same runner across all compared bookmakers, minus one, averaged per bookmaker. +2.0% means the bookmaker's price was 2% longer than the typical price on average.
| Bookmaker | All prices | Under $3.00 | $3.00 to $6.99 | $7.00 to $14.99 | $15.00 and over |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet | +4.8% | −1.4% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +9.7% |
| BetRight | +3.7% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +8.3% |
| TAB | +2.2% | −0.3% | −0.1% | +1.7% | +5.0% |
| Unibet | +1.2% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +0.9% |
| TABtouch | +0.8% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| BoostBet | +0.3% | −0.3% | −0.1% | +0.9% | +0.4% |
| BetGold | +0.3% | −0.3% | −0.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| NextBet (formerly PlayUp) | −0.7% | −0.8% | −1.0% | −0.9% | −0.3% |
| Ladbrokes | −1.1% | +0.7% | −1.0% | −2.4% | −0.8% |
| Neds | −1.1% | +0.7% | −1.0% | −2.4% | −0.8% |
| Sportsbet | −1.1% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% | −4.1% |
| BetDeluxe | −1.5% | −0.1% | −0.4% | −1.3% | −2.9% |
| Palmerbet | −1.7% | +0.4% | −1.0% | −2.1% | −2.6% |
The sum of 1 / price over the field, per race and bookmaker, counted only where the bookmaker priced the full field (fields of four or more). The median across races is shown; 100% would be a market with no margin, and lower is better for the punter.
| Bookmaker | All codes | Thoroughbred | Harness | Greyhound | Full-field races |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRight | 122.5% | 119.8% | 123.6% | 122.9% | 3,404 |
| PointsBet | 123.0% | 119.7% | 124.7% | 123.2% | 3,653 |
| Unibet | 123.1% | 119.2% | 125.3% | 123.3% | 3,199 |
| TABtouch | 123.3% | 120.4% | 125.7% | 123.3% | 3,355 |
| TAB | 123.4% | 121.8% | 126.1% | 123.4% | 3,168 |
| BetGold | 123.8% | 122.0% | 126.7% | 123.7% | 3,035 |
| BoostBet | 123.8% | 122.0% | 126.7% | 123.7% | 3,041 |
| Sportsbet | 123.9% | 121.4% | 127.2% | 124.1% | 3,862 |
| NextBet (formerly PlayUp) | 125.0% | 121.6% | 127.5% | 124.9% | 3,140 |
| BetDeluxe | 125.4% | 121.7% | 126.9% | 125.5% | 3,251 |
| Ladbrokes | 125.6% | 121.2% | 126.9% | 126.0% | 3,936 |
| Neds | 125.7% | 121.2% | 126.9% | 126.0% | 3,917 |
| Palmerbet | 126.0% | 121.5% | 126.9% | 126.2% | 3,428 |
How much probability each bookmaker's prices gave the eventual winner. In every resulted race with one winner where the bookmaker priced the full field, its margin is removed with the power method and the winner's probability is compared with the average bookmaker's in the same race (the log score). The figure is how much more or less probability the bookmaker gave winners than the field did, on average. A verdict needs the 95% interval to clear zero after a Bonferroni correction for the number of bookmakers compared; otherwise the difference is not measurable. Measured twice: on prices 60 minutes before the jump (series that began at the start of the archive's capture window) and on closing prices.
| Bookmaker | 60 min out | Verdict | At the close | Verdict | Races |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes | +0.09% | No measurable difference | +0.21% | No measurable difference | 3,872 |
| Neds | +0.07% | No measurable difference | +0.20% | No measurable difference | 3,853 |
| Palmerbet | +0.09% | No measurable difference | +0.18% | No measurable difference | 3,374 |
| BetDeluxe | 0.00% | No measurable difference | +0.11% | No measurable difference | 3,198 |
| BetRight | +0.09% | No measurable difference | +0.11% | No measurable difference | 3,320 |
| Sportsbet | −0.03% | No measurable difference | +0.03% | No measurable difference | 3,784 |
| TABtouch | +0.11% | No measurable difference | −0.02% | No measurable difference | 3,301 |
| NextBet (formerly PlayUp) | −0.09% | No measurable difference | −0.04% | No measurable difference | 3,087 |
| PointsBet | −0.10% | No measurable difference | −0.07% | No measurable difference | 3,591 |
| Unibet | +0.04% | No measurable difference | −0.14% | No measurable difference | 3,147 |
| TAB | −0.05% | No measurable difference | −0.21% | No measurable difference | 3,117 |
| BetGold | −0.16% | No measurable difference | −0.24% | Less sharp than the field | 2,985 |
| BoostBet | −0.15% | No measurable difference | −0.24% | Less sharp than the field | 2,990 |
4,332 resulted races 60 minutes out and 4,299 at the close. A verdict needs the interval to clear zero at |z| ≥ 2.89; differences without one are shown uncoloured. The figures move as the window fills, so quote the window dates with any number.
Australian thoroughbred, harness and greyhound races on the Sydney racing days shown. A bookmaker is compared when it held a closing price on at least 75% of the window's races. Window: 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-18 (21 racing days, Sydney dates); it covers the last 28 days once that many have passed since 2026-09-28, the first day every compared bookmaker's closing prices were complete in the archive. A closing price is a bookmaker's last archived win price for a runner, observed within 300 seconds of the jump. Scratched runners and rows the archive flags as possible duplicates are left out, the same defaults the API applies.
Compared: BetDeluxe, BetGold, BetRight, BoostBet, Ladbrokes, Neds, Palmerbet, NextBet (formerly PlayUp), PointsBet, Sportsbet, TAB, TABtouch, Unibet. Not compared in this window: bet365 (closing prices on 54.7% of races), Betr (closing prices on 68.0% of races). Betfair is not included.
Reproduce it. The same method runs on the free monthly closing-line dataset (five bookmakers, CC BY 4.0) in the notebook Which bookmaker is sharpest?, which opens in Google Colab with no install.
Canonical URL: https://puntersedge.online/bookmaker-report
Machine-readable twin: https://puntersedge.online/bookmaker-report.json (CORS-open, same figures)
Suggested attribution:
Source: PuntersEdge Bookmaker Report, 28 September – 18 October 2026 https://puntersedge.online/bookmaker-report
Free to reuse with attribution and a link. The live report is measured again every day; the measured_at and window fields in the JSON identify the figures you quoted.
Market report: the week's steamers and drifters, favourite strike rate and longest-priced winner.
Open dataset: a free monthly sample of the closing-line archive.
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