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Public Record · 714 Tips · +134.3u · 67% Strike · Last updated 2026-06-30

Transparent sports tips for Australian punters.

Every qualifying tip tracked publicly. No deleted losses. No fake screenshots. No guaranteed winners — just a model-driven record you can audit yourself.

Public track record CSV download available Methodology explained 18+ only Cancel anytime No guaranteed outcomes

18+ only · No lock-in · Cancel anytime

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67% Strike Rate
442W / 222L All-Time Record
+134.3u All-Time P&L
20.2% All-Time ROI
714 Tips Tracked
Live record · auto-synced after every settled result
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Recent results: WIN AFL +4.02u LOSS AFL -5.00u LOSS Tennis_ATP -0.50u LOSS Tennis_ATP -0.50u WIN Tennis_ATP +0.10u WIN Tennis_ATP +0.52u Full record →

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Three Steps. Zero Gut Feel.

How selections are generated and delivered. Full detail →

01

Models Analyse the Market

Form, head-to-head context, venue effects, scheduling pressure, player availability, and live market pricing — processed without emotion. See the full methodology.

02

Only Qualifying Edges Make the Cut

Selections are filtered by confidence tier. VALUE (65%+), STRONG (75%+), HIGH CONFIDENCE (85%+). Only tips where the model view and available price justify it.

03

Delivered at 7am AEST

Free members get the top daily pick. Members get the full card, staking tiers, and results updates via Telegram DM.

What Goes Into Every Tip

Six inputs. No gut feel. Read the full methodology →

Venue and Home Ground

Home advantage is quantified per venue — not applied as a blanket coefficient. The Gabba, GMHBA and Optus Stadium all carry different weightings based on historical data.

Injuries and Player Outs

Team injury reports are scraped daily and fed into the model. A key player absence adjusts team strength before the model generates a prediction — not after.

Rolling Form

Win rates and score differentials across the last 3, 5 and 10 games — weighted by recency. A team's form three months ago matters far less than last week.

Head-to-Head Context

Historical H2H records at the specific venue. Some matchups are structurally one-sided regardless of current form.

Fatigue and Scheduling

Back-to-back games, long road trips and short turnarounds all reduce performance in measurable ways. The model flags and weights these scenarios automatically.

Live Odds and Value Gap

Market pricing is cross-referenced against the model's probability. When the bookmaker underprices a team we've rated highly — that's where the edge lives.

Models are retrained weekly. Every tip is logged publicly — view the full track record · how results are measured.

Verified Track Record

Every tip logged publicly — winning months and losing ones, no cherry-picking. How results are measured →

Verified all-time record
+134.3u 442W / 222L 67% strike

Every tip included — winners and losers — across 714 published tips in our four published sports (AFL, NBA, Rugby Union, ATP tennis) at 20.2% ROI. See the full record →

Worst drawdown: -65.1u Longest losing run: 8 tips Current: 2 losss

We publish the rough patches too — worst drawdown and longest losing streak are shown above on purpose. Single months swing hard; that is normal variance, not the trend.

Equity curve · cumulative units Now +8.8u · peak +60.2u

Every settled tip in order — dips are real losing runs. Full record →

Higher confidence, higher return — and we publish every tier, including the one that loses.

VALUE
65–74% confidence · 664 bets
20.2% ROI
442W / 222L · 67% strike

Members get the confidence tier on every selection so you can stake accordingly. Full tier history →

June 2026 so far — full detail

6W / 4L
Win / Loss
60%
Strike Rate
+6.0u
Units P&L
59.5%
ROI
Full All-Time Record → How Results Are Measured → View pricing & members →

Recent Results

Last 6 settled tips. Every result tracked publicly. View all 714 tips →

AFL · 2026-06-22
Adelaide
VALUE
WIN
+4.02u
AFL · 2026-06-20
Collingwood
VALUE
LOSS
-5.00u
Tennis_ATP · 2026-06-09
Michael Mmoh
VALUE
LOSS
-0.50u
Tennis_ATP · 2026-06-09
Gabriel Diallo
VALUE
LOSS
-0.50u
Tennis_ATP · 2026-06-09
Yannick Hanfmann
VALUE
WIN
+0.10u
Tennis_ATP · 2026-06-09
Tallon Griekspoor
VALUE
WIN
+0.52u
View full record →

Past performance is not indicative of future results. How we calculate →

How to verify our record

Don't take the numbers on faith — check them.

Every qualifying PuntersEdge tip is logged into the public record. Losing tips are not removed, hidden, or reset. The public summary above is recalculated from the underlying tip database after every settled result — it isn't a number we type in by hand. The full record can be reviewed tip-by-tip on the record page, or downloaded as a CSV and checked yourself.

There will be losing runs. PuntersEdge is built around transparent tracking, not guaranteed outcomes. If a service hides its losses, that's the opposite of what we're doing here.

Public record Download CSV How results are counted Methodology Responsible gambling

Public record updated 2026-06-30 · 714 tips · 442W / 222L · +134.3u all-time.

Today's Full Card — Members Only

Free members get 1 tip. Members get the full qualifying card with staking tiers.

FREE TIP — AFL
Adelaide
VALUE
Odds ~81.0
MEMBERS · AFL
Team Name — Handicap
STRONG 78%
+1.5u
MEMBERS · AFL
Team Name — Handicap
STRONG 78%
+1.5u
MEMBERS · AFL
Team Name — Handicap
STRONG 78%
+1.5u

+ 5–12 more tips in today's full card. All at VALUE / STRONG / HIGH CONFIDENCE confidence tiers.

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One Service. Multiple Sports.

PuntersEdge covers a rotating mix of model-qualified opportunities across these sports. The daily card depends on where the model sees value.

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Questions? See the FAQ or the Why PuntersEdge page.

Built by a punter, for punters.

PuntersEdge was built after years of frustration with tip services that hide their record. The models, the record, and the methodology are all transparent on purpose — because that's what I wanted when I was on the other side. Learn more about the service →

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Frequently Asked Questions

Are these guaranteed winners?

No. PuntersEdge provides analysis only. Betting always involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

When do the tips arrive?

Tips are delivered at 7am AEST. Free members receive one daily pick; members receive the full qualifying card.

What do VALUE, STRONG, and HIGH CONFIDENCE mean?

Confidence-based staking tiers used to size exposure consistently across the card. HIGH CONFIDENCE is the top tier (85%+ model confidence) — not a guaranteed win.

What sports are covered?

AFL, NBA, Rugby Union and ATP tennis — the four sports we publish a complete, public track record for. Every tip is logged and graded against the result, winners and losers, so the card stays focused and fully accountable.

Where can I verify the results?

The live track record and results methodology page show how performance is measured and updated after every result.

See All FAQs →

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